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Predicting the economic impact of COVID 19 using real time images from space

Description

In this Talk, we will discuss the process of analysing terabytes of GeoTIFF images of surface lights on Earth from space at scale using Multiprocessing, geospatial, image-processing and raster libraries on high-performance AWS instances. Second, we will discuss how the data can then be used with Machine Learning libraries to predict GDP and other economic metrics, especially during supply-demand shocks like COVID-19. In a recent analysis, using this approach, we accurately predicted the GDP impact in India during COVID-19 with a 99.5% accuracy, much ahead of official announcements, compared to 67% accuracy of estimates from leading investment banks. Overall, the Talk covers 4 disciplines: 1) computer science - TB-scale parallel processing using Python/Linux, 2) stats/ml - geospatial statistics & econometrics, 3) engineering - high-performance cloud computing and 4) finance - economics of supply-demand shocks.

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